Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jooris on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Jooris 48.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 63.6%
Defensive zone
Jooris 59.5%
Neutral zone
Jooris 62.7%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Ryan
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Jooris
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Jooris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Jooris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
3
Ryan
Jooris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.6% (1,221)
+8.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
61.0% (41)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
39.4% (175)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Jooris is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Ryan
Jooris
Home
56.2% (2,559)
49.0% (786)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Ryan
Jooris
P1
55.1%
47.5%
P2
54.7%
44.3%
P3
56.0%
51.3%
OT
58.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |