Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Cooley 42.6% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 80.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 97.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 94.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Ryan
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ryan
Cooley
Last 7: Ryan 6-1 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Cooley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Cooley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Cooley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
41.7% (1,687)
+14.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
46.1% (228)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
43.2% (44)
+4.6%
On even strength, Ryan has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Cooley is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cooley
Home
56.2% (2,559)
43.1% (990)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
41.3% (969)
By Period
Ryan
Cooley
P1
55.1%
42.3%
P2
54.7%
43.8%
P3
56.0%
39.9%
OT
58.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:31 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |