Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 69.2%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Ryan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
50.9% (913)
+9.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.0% (39)
+41.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
37.5% (160)
+8.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zibanejad
Home
56.7% (201)
51.1% (536)
Away
54.8% (208)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Ryan
Zibanejad
P1
56.7%
50.1%
P2
56.8%
47.3%
P3
53.7%
50.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |