Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Fisher 51.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 57.1%
Defensive zone
Fisher 53.3%
Neutral zone
Fisher 55.0%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Ryan
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Fisher
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
1
2
Ryan
Fisher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Fisher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Ryan
Fisher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
51.4% (6,100)
+5.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.8% (1,126)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
48.8% (781)
-1.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Fisher is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,492).
Home / Away
Ryan
Fisher
Home
56.2% (2,559)
52.4% (4,113)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
50.6% (3,922)
By Period
Ryan
Fisher
P1
55.1%
49.6%
P2
54.7%
52.8%
P3
56.0%
52.2%
OT
58.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |