Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 61.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 82.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Ryan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
14
(35 meetings)
21
14
Ryan
Suzuki
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
8
Ryan
Suzuki
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
13
3
Ryan
Suzuki
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Ryan
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
49.4% (6,368)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
50.8% (1,355)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.0% (466)
+3.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Ryan
Suzuki
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Ryan
Suzuki
P1
55.1%
48.9%
P2
54.7%
49.1%
P3
56.0%
50.3%
OT
58.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |