Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.6%). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 73.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Ryan
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
59.2% (370)
+1.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
40.9% (44)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
51.7% (58)
-8.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stastny
Home
56.7% (254)
57.7% (215)
Away
55.0% (258)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Ryan
Stastny
P1
56.9%
57.7%
P2
51.7%
54.2%
P3
59.2%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%