Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Danault 53.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 51.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 51.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Ryan
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Ryan
Danault
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
6
10
Ryan
Danault
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
9
10
Ryan
Danault
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
4
7
Ryan
Danault
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
53.6% (9,481)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
61.3% (758)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
47.4% (1,710)
+0.4%
On power play, Danault has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,047).
Home / Away
Ryan
Danault
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Ryan
Danault
P1
55.1%
53.7%
P2
54.7%
53.4%
P3
56.0%
52.7%
OT
58.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |