Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Engvall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Engvall 46.7% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 56.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 77.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Ryan
Engvall
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Engvall
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Engvall
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Engvall
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
44.4% (45)
+15.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
12.5% (8)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
50.0% (16)
-6.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Engvall shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Engvall is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Ryan
Engvall
Home
56.7% (254)
30.3% (33)
Away
55.0% (258)
52.8% (36)
By Period
Ryan
Engvall
P1
56.9%
52.6%
P2
51.7%
34.8%
P3
59.2%
40.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Engvall
36.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |