Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Bennett 47.2% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 77.7%
Defensive zone
Bennett 58.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 65.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Ryan
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Ryan
Bennett
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
7
Ryan
Bennett
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ryan
Bennett
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
46.8% (5,714)
+9.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
53.6% (558)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
41.8% (256)
+6.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Home / Away
Ryan
Bennett
Home
56.2% (2,559)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Ryan
Bennett
P1
55.1%
48.0%
P2
54.7%
46.5%
P3
56.0%
46.8%
OT
58.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |