Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Wright 43.3% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 84.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 78.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Ryan
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Wright
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
Ryan
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
42.7% (1,326)
+13.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
45.1% (133)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
33.3% (6)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Ryan
Wright
Home
56.2% (2,559)
44.2% (746)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Ryan
Wright
P1
55.1%
44.5%
P2
54.7%
40.5%
P3
56.0%
44.0%
OT
58.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Shane Wright |