Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 50.0% vs Boyd 43.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 52.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 75.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Ryan
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Ryan
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Ryan
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (344)
43.4% (893)
+7.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
51.5% (136)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (86)
34.6% (127)
+10.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Ryan is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Ryan shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Ryan
Boyd
Home
53.7% (214)
46.0% (570)
Away
46.4% (220)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Ryan
Boyd
P1
45.0%
38.9%
P2
50.0%
50.4%
P3
54.6%
41.1%
Final 5 min
45.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |