Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Zajac 54.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 59.5%
Defensive zone
Zajac 54.7%
Neutral zone
Zajac 51.8%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Ryan
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
17
(40 meetings)
23
17
Ryan
Zajac
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
13
8
Ryan
Zajac
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
5
Ryan
Zajac
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
7
4
Ryan
Zajac
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
54.4% (9,056)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
59.1% (1,498)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
48.6% (1,599)
-0.8%
On power play, Zajac has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zajac
Home
56.2% (2,559)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Ryan
Zajac
P1
55.1%
53.8%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
56.0%
53.6%
OT
58.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | OT | 03:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | OT | 01:32 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |