Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Brassard 50.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 84.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Stepan
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stepan
Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
50.9% (287)
+3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.8% (39)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
50.0% (4)
+14.7%
On power play, Brassard has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brassard
Home
54.5% (222)
52.1% (211)
Away
57.2% (222)
49.6% (119)
By Period
Stepan
Brassard
P1
57.5%
47.3%
P2
54.7%
56.6%
P3
55.9%
47.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |