Scouting Report
Dustin Jeffrey holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Jeffrey 47.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Jeffrey leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.3%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 51.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Stepan
Jeffrey
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Stepan
Jeffrey
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Jeffrey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Jeffrey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jeffrey
1
4
Stepan
Jeffrey
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stepan
Jeffrey
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Jeffrey
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
47.5% (754)
-1.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
37.2% (43)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
55.6% (36)
-11.4%
On power play, Stepan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jeffrey shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Jeffrey is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Stepan
Jeffrey
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.0% (390)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
46.4% (455)
By Period
Stepan
Jeffrey
P1
47.5%
46.4%
P2
45.6%
48.1%
P3
46.8%
48.0%
OT
40.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |