Derek Stepan vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Marchessault 42.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Marchessault leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchessault 83.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.7%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 64.7%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Stepan
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Stepan
Marchessault
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
5
Stepan
Marchessault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Marchessault
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
4
Stepan
Marchessault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
41.4% (1,441)
+5.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
44.3% (264)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.4% (9)
-0.2%
On even strength, Stepan has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Marchessault is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Stepan
Marchessault
Home
47.6% (6,608)
42.6% (892)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
41.0% (822)
By Period
Stepan
Marchessault
P1
47.5%
43.3%
P2
45.6%
42.2%
P3
46.8%
39.9%
OT
40.7%
42.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 17, 2017 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Mar 17, 2017 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |