Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.3%). Look for Komarov on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Komarov 47.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Komarov leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 68.7%
Defensive zone
Komarov 57.4%
Neutral zone
Komarov 54.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Stepan
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Stepan
Komarov
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Komarov
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
6
Stepan
Komarov
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.6% (695)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
37.5% (16)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.6% (417)
-1.4%
On power play, Stepan has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Stepan
Komarov
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.2% (537)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Stepan
Komarov
P1
47.5%
47.6%
P2
45.6%
47.3%
P3
46.8%
47.5%
OT
40.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |