Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 64.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Stepan
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Stepan
Suzuki
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
8
Stepan
Suzuki
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
5
Stepan
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.4% (6,368)
-2.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.8% (1,355)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.0% (466)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Suzuki is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,221).
Home / Away
Stepan
Suzuki
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Stepan
Suzuki
P1
47.5%
48.9%
P2
45.6%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
50.3%
OT
40.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |