Derek Stepan vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stepan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stepan
Backstrom
Last 6: Stepan 3-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
47.0% (541)
+7.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.4% (95)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
15.4% (13)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backstrom
Home
54.5% (222)
48.5% (328)
Away
57.2% (222)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Stepan
Backstrom
P1
57.5%
44.8%
P2
54.7%
42.9%
P3
55.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |