Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Strome 44.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Stepan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Stepan
Strome
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
6
Stepan
Strome
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
4
Stepan
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
4
Stepan
Strome
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
44.2% (6,887)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
49.2% (855)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.5% (410)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Stepan
Strome
Home
47.6% (6,608)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Stepan
Strome
P1
47.5%
43.9%
P2
45.6%
45.4%
P3
46.8%
44.4%
OT
40.7%
46.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:16 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |