Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 48-45 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Stepan
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
48
(93 meetings)
45
48
Stepan
Monahan
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
12
22
Stepan
Monahan
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
26
12
Stepan
Monahan
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
14
Stepan
Monahan
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
51.1% (11,407)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.6% (2,582)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
45.9% (772)
-1.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Stepan
Monahan
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Stepan
Monahan
P1
47.5%
51.0%
P2
45.6%
51.7%
P3
46.8%
51.0%
OT
40.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |