Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Blueger 50.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 76.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 87.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 77.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Stepan
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Stepan
Blueger
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
12
1
Stepan
Blueger
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Stepan
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Stepan
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
52.2% (3,582)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.6% (77)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.7% (1,103)
+1.5%
On even strength, Blueger has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Blueger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,529).
Home / Away
Stepan
Blueger
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Stepan
Blueger
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
45.6%
52.2%
P3
46.8%
48.6%
OT
40.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | OT | 01:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |