Derek Stepan vs Tim Connolly

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.2%). Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stepan 46.6% vs Connolly 47.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor Connolly leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Connolly 53.2%
Defensive zone Connolly 50.1%
Neutral zone Connolly 50.7%
Result Tim Connolly favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Stepan Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 9 (17 meetings)
8
9
Stepan Connolly
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Connolly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
3
6
Stepan Connolly
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stepan
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
47.4% (1,307)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.2% (251)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.9% (186)
+2.3%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Stepan
Connolly
Home
47.6% (6,608)
48.5% (870)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Stepan
Connolly
P1
47.5%
47.4%
P2
45.6%
47.7%
P3
46.8%
47.0%
OT
40.7%
37.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
42.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%
55.5%
46.5%
Connolly
50.0%
51.0%
47.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 24, 2012 1 04:11 Defensive Tim Connolly
Dec 5, 2011 1 06:01 Neutral Tim Connolly
Oct 27, 2011 2 14:44 Offensive Tim Connolly
Oct 27, 2011 2 04:57 Neutral Derek Stepan
Oct 27, 2011 2 04:51 Neutral Tim Connolly
Oct 27, 2011 2 01:57 Neutral Derek Stepan
Oct 27, 2011 2 00:00 Neutral Tim Connolly
Oct 27, 2011 1 11:54 Offensive Tim Connolly
Oct 27, 2011 1 04:20 Defensive Derek Stepan
Mar 30, 2011 3 10:58 Offensive Derek Stepan
Mar 30, 2011 2 11:40 Offensive Derek Stepan
Mar 1, 2011 3 06:05 Neutral Tim Connolly
Mar 1, 2011 2 17:58 Offensive Derek Stepan
Mar 1, 2011 2 13:45 Neutral Tim Connolly
Mar 1, 2011 1 08:54 Neutral Tim Connolly
Mar 1, 2011 1 04:36 Defensive Derek Stepan
Oct 9, 2010 2 00:00 Neutral Derek Stepan