Derick Brassard vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Larkin 52.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 50.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 57.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Brassard
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Brassard
Larkin
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
8
2
Brassard
Larkin
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
10
Brassard
Larkin
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
7
Brassard
Larkin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
51.6% (9,056)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
58.6% (2,140)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
50.2% (1,124)
+0.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Brassard
Larkin
Home
50.6% (5,020)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Brassard
Larkin
P1
49.0%
52.7%
P2
49.8%
53.1%
P3
48.4%
52.0%
OT
51.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |