Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dowell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs Dowell 49.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dowell 51.2%
Neutral zone
Brassard 55.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Brassard
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Brassard
Dowell
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Brassard
Dowell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
7
Brassard
Dowell
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Brassard
Dowell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
49.9% (573)
-4.7%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
33.3% (12)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
43.8% (64)
+11.8%
On power play, Brassard has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Brassard
Dowell
Home
47.9% (447)
52.5% (303)
Away
45.4% (441)
45.8% (349)
By Period
Brassard
Dowell
P1
48.7%
49.5%
P2
44.3%
47.0%
P3
47.2%
50.7%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |