Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.7%). Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Dowell 48.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 58.1%
Defensive zone
Dowell 63.5%
Neutral zone
Dowell 57.2%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Brassard
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Brassard
Dowell
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Brassard
Dowell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
3
7
Brassard
Dowell
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Brassard
Dowell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
49.1% (759)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
38.5% (13)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
46.9% (81)
+3.4%
On power play, Brassard has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Brassard
Dowell
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.8% (413)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Brassard
Dowell
P1
49.0%
50.4%
P2
49.8%
46.6%
P3
48.4%
49.7%
OT
51.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |