Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 56.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 57.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 52.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Brassard
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Brassard
Suzuki
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Brassard
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Brassard
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
49.4% (6,368)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
50.8% (1,355)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.0% (466)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Brassard
Suzuki
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Brassard
Suzuki
P1
49.0%
48.9%
P2
49.8%
49.1%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
OT
51.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |