Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Brassard
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Brassard
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
0
Brassard
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Brassard
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Brassard
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
44.8% (936)
+6.1%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
49.4% (154)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (54)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Brassard
Hartman
Home
52.1% (211)
47.4% (568)
Away
49.6% (119)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Brassard
Hartman
P1
47.3%
47.2%
P2
56.6%
43.4%
P3
47.8%
43.8%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |