Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bennett 50.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Brassard
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Brassard
Bennett
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
4
Brassard
Bennett
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Brassard
Bennett
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
7
8
Brassard
Bennett
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
46.8% (5,714)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
53.6% (558)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
41.8% (256)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bennett
Home
50.6% (5,020)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Brassard
Bennett
P1
49.0%
48.0%
P2
49.8%
46.5%
P3
48.4%
46.8%
OT
51.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |