Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Carrick 49.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 70.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 70.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Brassard
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Brassard
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
48.9% (352)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
81.3% (16)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
42.2% (45)
+7.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carrick
Home
52.1% (211)
46.9% (192)
Away
49.6% (119)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Brassard
Carrick
P1
47.3%
48.1%
P2
56.6%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |