Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 74.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 72.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Brassard
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
51.3% (158)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
66.7% (36)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.6% (110)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Brassard
Gagner
Home
52.1% (211)
53.2% (154)
Away
49.6% (119)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Brassard
Gagner
P1
47.3%
35.6%
P2
56.6%
52.7%
P3
47.8%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%