Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 64.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 93.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 72.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Brassard
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
Brassard
Kuraly
Last 10: Brassard 10-0 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
8
2
Brassard
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Brassard
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
6
0
Brassard
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
56.4% (101)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.4% (1,091)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Brassard
Kuraly
Home
50.6% (5,020)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Brassard
Kuraly
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
48.4%
50.2%
OT
51.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |