Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Shore wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 47.4% vs Tavares 54.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shore 79.0%
Defensive zone
Shore 83.9%
Neutral zone
Shore 78.1%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Shore
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Shore
Tavares
Last 10: Shore 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Shore
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Shore
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Shore
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (1,389)
54.0% (16,169)
-6.4%
Power Play
43.8% (130)
56.4% (4,298)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (91)
50.5% (624)
-3.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Shore is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Shore shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Shore
Tavares
Home
46.7% (852)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
47.9% (758)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Shore
Tavares
P1
46.4%
55.0%
P2
47.6%
54.1%
P3
47.6%
54.0%
OT
75.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.3%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |