Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Shore wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 49.8% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.6%
Defensive zone
Shore 51.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Shore
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (103)
49.2% (1,266)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Shore is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Shore shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Shore
MacKinnon
Home
47.5% (61)
50.9% (740)
Away
52.4% (42)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Shore
MacKinnon
P1
47.6%
50.9%
P2
60.0%
51.8%
P3
41.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.9%