Scouting Report
Dillon Dube holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dube wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 72.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 63.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Dube
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dube
Rodrigues
Last 5: Dube 1-4 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Dube
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
3
Dube
Rodrigues
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
46.2% (2,897)
-0.3%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
44.8% (299)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
42.7% (220)
+0.7%
On power play, Dube has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Dube is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Dube shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Home / Away
Dube
Rodrigues
Home
47.8% (186)
47.1% (1,836)
Away
45.8% (216)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Dube
Rodrigues
P1
44.5%
46.9%
P2
44.7%
46.1%
P3
53.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |