Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dube on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.4% vs Hertl 54.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 83.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 95.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 88.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 86.7%
13.3%
86.7%
Dube
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Dube
Hertl
Last 8: Dube 7-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dube
4
0
Dube
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Dube
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dube
3
0
Dube
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (320)
53.9% (8,303)
-8.0%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
59.2% (1,995)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (53)
46.3% (806)
-2.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dube is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (241).
Dube shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Dube
Hertl
Home
47.8% (186)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
45.8% (216)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Dube
Hertl
P1
44.5%
53.6%
P2
44.7%
54.2%
P3
53.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |