Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Voronkov on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Voronkov wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 43.2% vs Malkin 48.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 60.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Voronkov
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Voronkov
Malkin
Last 7: Voronkov 4-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Voronkov
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Voronkov
3
0
Voronkov
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Voronkov
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (559)
47.9% (776)
-5.9%
Power Play
41.9% (93)
66.7% (24)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Voronkov is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Voronkov shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Malkin
Home
40.1% (332)
49.6% (405)
Away
44.3% (325)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Voronkov
Malkin
P1
42.3%
49.6%
P2
43.6%
47.2%
P3
40.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
38.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
39.5%
42.2%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Dmitri Voronkov |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |