Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Voronkov wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Voronkov 42.5% vs Dowd 50.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Voronkov 94.6%
Defensive zone
Voronkov 90.7%
Neutral zone
Voronkov 82.8%
Result
Dmitri Voronkov favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Voronkov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Voronkov
Dowd
Last 7: Voronkov 0-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Voronkov
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
6
Voronkov
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Voronkov
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Voronkov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (643)
52.6% (5,850)
-11.5%
Power Play
42.9% (119)
56.1% (164)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
43.9% (1,600)
+13.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Voronkov is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Voronkov shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,015).
Home / Away
Voronkov
Dowd
Home
40.8% (387)
52.1% (3,753)
Away
42.1% (382)
49.6% (3,862)
By Period
Voronkov
Dowd
P1
41.9%
51.9%
P2
41.7%
50.7%
P3
40.9%
50.1%
Final 5 min
39.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Voronkov
28.0%▼
39.5%
41.5%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |