Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
James 50.3% vs Foligno 49.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
James 67.5%
Defensive zone
James 50.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.7%
Result
Dominic James favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
James
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
James
Foligno
Last 7: James 4-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: James
2
0
James
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
James
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
James
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
James
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (270)
49.5% (291)
+0.1%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.8% (43)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.2% (53)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, James has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. James is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (188).
James shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
James
Foligno
Home
47.4% (156)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.2% (120)
50.7% (209)
By Period
James
Foligno
P1
47.4%
43.0%
P2
53.3%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
James
60.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Dominic James |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Dominic James |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Dominic James |