Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 82.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 50.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 78.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Moore
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Moore
Dowd
Last 10: Moore 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Moore
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Moore
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
52.3% (6,036)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
56.1% (164)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
44.1% (1,638)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Moore is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,888).
Moore shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Moore
Dowd
Home
55.3% (2,409)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Moore
Dowd
P1
53.7%
51.5%
P2
54.2%
50.4%
P3
55.3%
50.3%
OT
69.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |