Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Moore wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.4% vs Smyth 45.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 64.1%
Defensive zone
Moore 88.7%
Neutral zone
Moore 75.4%
Result
Dominic Moore favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Moore
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Moore
Smyth
Last 5: Moore 3-2 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
0
1
Moore
Smyth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
0
Moore
Smyth
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
1
Moore
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (4,121)
45.2% (456)
+10.6%
Power Play
55.9% (136)
51.8% (164)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (982)
23.3% (43)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Moore has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Moore shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Moore
Smyth
Home
55.3% (2,409)
49.7% (340)
Away
53.8% (2,843)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Moore
Smyth
P1
53.7%
48.3%
P2
54.2%
41.7%
P3
55.3%
46.5%
OT
69.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Ryan Smyth |