Dominic Toninato vs Eetu Luostarinen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Luostarinen 44.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 57.8%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 58.1%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 59.5%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Toninato
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Toninato
Luostarinen
Last 5: Toninato 1-4 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
4
Toninato
Luostarinen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
44.6% (1,784)
+1.3%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
43.5% (69)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
37.9% (206)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Home / Away
Toninato
Luostarinen
Home
47.0% (413)
44.8% (1,015)
Away
42.9% (431)
43.0% (1,044)
By Period
Toninato
Luostarinen
P1
40.8%
43.0%
P2
46.3%
45.4%
P3
47.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
41.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |