Dominic Toninato vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 51.1% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 69.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 54.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Toninato
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
44.9% (414)
+9.9%
On even strength, Toninato has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Toninato is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Toninato shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Toninato
Gaudreau
Home
71.4% (21)
42.6% (277)
Away
20.0% (10)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Toninato
Gaudreau
P1
50.0%
44.1%
P2
71.4%
44.7%
P3
33.3%
39.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.8%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%