Dominic Toninato vs Jack Hughes

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dominic Toninato holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 65.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Toninato 51.1% vs Hughes 39.5% (+18.6%)
Offensive zone Hughes 51.3%
Defensive zone Toninato 70.7%
Neutral zone Hughes 52.8%
Result Dominic Toninato favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Toninato Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (31)
36.7% (305)
+18.1%
On even strength, Toninato has a +18.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 65.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
71.4% (21)
35.8% (159)
Away
20.0% (10)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P1
50.0%
42.3%
P2
71.4%
28.2%
P3
33.3%
37.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
27.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%
47.5%
54.8%
Hughes
38.0%
37.0%
36.2%