Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 48.8% vs Domi 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 58.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 60.3%
Neutral zone
Toninato 55.4%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Toninato
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Toninato
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Toninato
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Toninato
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (103)
49.7% (394)
-2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
51.7% (58)
+48.3%
On power play, Toninato has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Toninato shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Toninato
Domi
Home
47.3% (55)
53.2% (235)
Away
48.1% (54)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Toninato
Domi
P1
55.9%
54.4%
P2
51.6%
46.6%
P3
38.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
40.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
47.7%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Max Domi |