Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 48.8% vs Colton 51.4% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Toninato 52.2%
Defensive zone
Colton 60.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Toninato
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (103)
52.1% (741)
-4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
48.3% (60)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
42.1% (19)
-17.1%
On power play, Toninato has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Toninato shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Toninato
Colton
Home
47.3% (55)
54.0% (411)
Away
48.1% (54)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Toninato
Colton
P1
55.9%
56.7%
P2
51.6%
53.1%
P3
38.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
40.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
47.7%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%