Dominic Toninato vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 48.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.6%
Defensive zone
Toninato 65.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Toninato
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (103)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.8% (303)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.3% (149)
-15.3%
On power play, Toninato has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Toninato shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Toninato
O'Reilly
Home
47.3% (55)
54.8% (759)
Away
48.1% (54)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Toninato
O'Reilly
P1
55.9%
55.3%
P2
51.6%
51.9%
P3
38.6%
54.2%
Final 5 min
40.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
47.7%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%