Dominic Toninato vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Poehling 48.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 62.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 70.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Toninato
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toninato
Poehling
Last 8: Toninato 5-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
2
Toninato
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
49.6% (2,780)
-3.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
51.6% (93)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
41.7% (635)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Toninato shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Toninato
Poehling
Home
47.0% (413)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
42.9% (431)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Toninato
Poehling
P1
40.8%
50.8%
P2
46.3%
47.1%
P3
47.5%
47.2%
Final 5 min
41.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |