Dominic Toninato vs Ryan Strome
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.9% vs 44.6%). Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toninato wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.4% vs Strome 44.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 61.4%
Defensive zone
Toninato 57.0%
Neutral zone
Toninato 54.2%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Toninato
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Toninato
Strome
Last 6: Toninato 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Toninato
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
3
1
Toninato
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (778)
44.2% (6,887)
+1.7%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
49.2% (855)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
41.5% (410)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toninato is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Toninato shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Toninato
Strome
Home
47.0% (413)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
42.9% (431)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Toninato
Strome
P1
40.8%
43.9%
P2
46.3%
45.4%
P3
47.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |