Drake Caggiula vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Caggiula wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 40.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Caggiula 54.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (390)
44.8% (8,775)
-6.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.6% (844)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (11)
37.8% (880)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Caggiula shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.9% (217)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
32.7% (196)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Caggiula
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
37.7%
45.1%
P2
37.7%
43.9%
P3
37.3%
45.2%
OT
0.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%