Drew O'Connor vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Connor on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Connor wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.5% vs Backlund 49.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 90.8%
Neutral zone
Backlund 73.9%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
O'Connor
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Connor
Backlund
Last 7: O'Connor 5-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
3
0
O'Connor
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Connor
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (295)
49.7% (13,463)
-7.0%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
51.5% (1,338)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
43.9% (2,465)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. O'Connor is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (225).
O'Connor shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Backlund
Home
45.2% (199)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
43.0% (158)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
O'Connor
Backlund
P1
41.9%
48.5%
P2
44.9%
50.3%
P3
46.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.3%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |